PostsStreamSceneTravis Scott x Owen Wilson collab was NOT on my 2026 bing…

Travis Scott x Owen Wilson collab was NOT on my 2026 bing…TikTok@streamscenehqaverage

Posted Sep 17, 2026 · 00:41 (59.5d ago) · imported by auto-sync

Intelligence

medium confidence

Derived only from this post's snapshots and this account's history.

Performance

On track

In line with the account median (0.9x).

Velocity trend

Accelerating

Strong start, then stalled

vs account median

0.9x

323 vs 363 · n=7

Views

323

as of 28.7d

Likes

4.0% like rate

Comments

Add analytics snapshot

Enter the numbers as the platform shows them. Timestamp, minutes-since-post and engagement rate are calculated automatically.

Analytics over time

Cumulative metrics by minutes since posting.

Snapshots

Cumulative readings. Velocity is views/hour since the previous reading.

When	Views	Likes	Comments	Shares	Saves	Visits	Follows	Compl.	Eng.	Velocity
1 hr Sep 17, 2026 · 01:31 · api	213	9	0	0	—	—	—	—	4.2%	256/hr
16.0 hr Sep 17, 2026 · 16:39 · api	283	13	0	0	—

Intelligence details

Evidence behind the summary above.

Velocity evidence

Observed pattern: Strong start, then stalled · High confidence

0m → 50m: +213 views (256/hr)
50m → 16.0h: +70 views (5/hr, ÷55.3 vs previous)
16.0h → 1.1d: +7 views (1/hr, ÷7.6 vs previous)
1.1d → 1.6d: +3 views (0/hr, ÷2.5 vs previous)
1.6d → 2.1d: +1 views (0/hr, ÷3.0 vs previous)
2.1d → 2.6d: +2 views (0/hr, ×2.0 vs previous)
2.6d → 3.2d: +8 views (1/hr, ×3.7 vs previous)
3.2d → 3.6d: +1 views (0/hr, ÷7.2 vs previous)
3.6d → 4.0d: +1 views (0/hr, ×1.2 vs previous)
4.0d → 4.7d: +3 views (0/hr, ×1.7 vs previous)
4.7d → 5.2d: +2 views (0/hr, ×1.1 vs previous)
5.2d → 5.7d: +0 views (0/hr, ÷1000000000.0 vs previous)
5.7d → 6.1d: +2 views (0/hr)
6.1d → 7.7d: +1 views (0/hr, ÷6.3 vs previous)
7.7d → 15.7d: +1 views (0/hr, ÷5.3 vs previous)
15.7d → 17.2d: +2 views (0/hr, ×10.8 vs previous)
17.2d → 22.7d: +1 views (0/hr, ÷7.5 vs previous)
22.7d → 24.2d: +2 views (0/hr, ×7.6 vs previous)
24.2d → 25.2d: +1 views (0/hr, ÷1.4 vs previous)
25.2d → 27.2d: +1 views (0/hr, ÷1.9 vs previous)
27.2d → 28.7d: +1 views (0/hr, ×1.3 vs previous)

Strong initial distribution, then a sharp slowdown — the first audience did not carry it further.

Confidence

Medium

21 snapshot intervals · 7 comparable posts

Next test

Move the payoff earlier and re-post a variant

Does the variant's 6 hr velocity stay above 25% of its 1 hr velocity?

Views rose quickly to 213 views by 50m, then velocity fell to under 10% of its peak — 290 by 1.1d with little momentum left.

Followers gained

—

vs StreamScene median

0.9x

median 363 · n=7

vs Streamer/Internet Culture median

0.9x

median 363 · n=7

vs TikTok median

0.9x

median 363 · n=7

Velocity

stalled

256/hr early · 1/hr late

URL: tiktok.com/@streamscenehq/video/76862977…
Platform: TikTok@streamscenehq
Account: StreamScene
Clip: Travis Scott x Owen Wilson collab was NOT on my 2026 bing…
Caption: Travis Scott x Owen Wilson collab was NOT on my 2026 bingo card 🤣👀 In theaters October 2nd, 2026 @rollingloudthemovie #RollingLoudTheMovie
Posted: Sep 17, 2026 · 00:41
Campaign: —
Monetized: No
Notes: Imported by auto-sync; link it to the clip it came from.

Prediction service

Insufficient data — 6/20 posts with a 24h snapshot on TikTok. Predictions unlock after 20 posts with a 24h snapshot on this platform. Keep logging snapshots.

Post-mortem

Provider: rule-based

rule-based · Sep 22, 2026 · 16:40

What happened: "Travis Scott x Owen Wilson collab was NOT on my 2026 bing…" on TikTok reached 311 views after 136 h — in line with the account median (n=5). Views rose quickly to 213 views by 50m, then velocity fell to under 10% of its peak — 290 by 1.1d with little momentum left. Engagement 4.2% vs 1.9% median.
Likely issue: Strong initial distribution, then a sharp slowdown — the first audience did not carry it further.
Worked: Engagement 2.2x the account median — viewers reacted.
Likely hurt: Strong initial distribution, then a sharp slowdown — the first audience did not carry it further.
Keep: Keep the ~15s length.
Change next: Move the payoff earlier and re-post a variantVelocity fell to 0/hr after a 256/hr start while engagement held — the first batch watched but did not carry it further. Measure: Does the variant's 6 hr velocity stay above 25% of its 1 hr velocity?

vs account baseline

Medians of StreamScene · TikTok (7 posts). Views matched at the same checkpoint.

Metric	This post	Median	Ratio	n
Views	323	363	0.9x	7
Engagement rate	4.0%	1.9%	2.1x	7
Followers / 1K views	—	—	—	0
Share rate	0.00%	0.00%	—	7
Completion	—	—	—	0

Views are in line with the account median at 28.7 d (323 vs 363, n=7).
Engagement rate is 2.1x the account median.

What likely helped / hurt

Engagement 2.1x the account median — viewers reacted.

Strong initial distribution, then a sharp slowdown — the first audience did not carry it further.

Cross-platform

Same clip on other platforms

Posted on TikTok only — post it on a second platform to compare platform fit.

Next tests

Concrete experiments ranked by what the data supports.

1. Move the payoff earlier and re-post a variant

Velocity fell to 0/hr after a 256/hr start while engagement held — the first batch watched but did not carry it further.

Measure: Does the variant's 6 hr velocity stay above 25% of its 1 hr velocity?

2. Test the same clip on Instagram

A second platform separates a creative problem from a platform-fit problem.

Measure: Views at 24 hr on Instagram vs 323 here.

Data that would sharpen this analysis

Followers gained not entered, so follower conversion cannot be compared.
Watch-time / completion data is unavailable, so retention cannot be evaluated.
The same clip has analytics on one platform only.
No hook text recorded, so the opening cannot be evaluated.
No content archetype tag, so this post is excluded from creative comparisons.

rule-based · Sep 18, 2026 · 04:07 · earlier run

What happened: "Travis Scott x Owen Wilson collab was NOT on my 2026 bing…" on TikTok reached 290 views after 27 h — in line with the account median (n=3). Views rose quickly to 213 views by 50m, then velocity fell to under 10% of its peak — 290 by 1.1d with little momentum left. Engagement 4.5% vs 0.6% median.
Likely issue: Strong initial distribution, then a sharp slowdown — the first audience did not carry it further.
Worked: Engagement 7.7x the account median — viewers reacted.
Likely hurt: Strong initial distribution, then a sharp slowdown — the first audience did not carry it further.
Keep: Keep the ~15s length.
Change next: Move the payoff earlier and re-post a variantVelocity fell to 1/hr after a 256/hr start while engagement held — the first batch watched but did not carry it further. Measure: Does the variant's 6 hr velocity stay above 25% of its 1 hr velocity?
Confidence: low